From entrepreneur to oligopoly: possible futures for the screen sector

The screen community is hurtling through digital change. Flame Distribution's John Caldon and a pair of Ninja futurists have utterly different views of the world to come.
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Image: poster for Banksy’s Dismaland, currently occupying a deserted amusement park in Weston-super-Mare. 

Call it churning, creative destruction, generational transfer, globalisation or the revenge of the Third World, the present is full of chaos. Will deep structures endure? Does lean and nimble help? The stakes are high for every bet.

Screen industry producer turned ‘foresight facilitator’ Tim Kreibig surfaced with academic futurist Stephen Reimann at the Open Channel conference on micro-movies to depict their predictive craft as a chess game, with exponential possibilities for which we can only assign probabilities. 

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David Tiley was the Editor of Screenhub from 2005 until he became Content Lead for Film in 2021 with a special interest in policy. He is a writer in screen media with a long career in educational programs, documentary, and government funding, with a side order in script editing. He values curiosity, humour and objectivity in support of Australian visions and the art of storytelling.